The withdrawal of the remaining Western forces from Afghanistan this month on the orders of US President Joe Biden has encouraged Al Qaeda and the Taliban in Afghanistan to reunite.
They captured one region after another in recent days, including with numerous bases where low-spirit military government employees either surrendered or escaped.
Observers fear that the sudden withdrawal has increased the chances of international terrorism returning to Afghanistan.
The security and terrorism analysts around the globe think that “With Biden withdrawing troops from Afghanistan, the Taliban takeover is inevitable and Al Qaeda has to rebuild its network. There is an opportunity to plot strikes throughout the world once again.
Increase in Operations
This is certainly a more disappointing end to the Afghan situation, but two things are certain.
The first is that the Taliban, who ruled Afghanistan by force from 1996-2001, is returning in one form or another.
The Taliban still say they have no desire to seize the capital, Kabul, by force. But he is already a dominant force in large parts of the country and has never given up his call for an Islamic state in line with his extremist thinking.
Second, Al-Qaeda and its rival Islamic State in Khorasan Province would like to take advantage of the deployment of Western forces to expand their operations in Afghanistan.
Al Qaeda and Islamic State (ISIS) already exist in Afghanistan, most of which are in the mountains.
So far, the Afghan government’s intelligence service has been working with the NDS, the US and other special forces. This strategy and cooperation have only partially managed the situation.
Attacks by Afghan forces have already begun and bombing has begun. But on countless occasions, Afghan and Western forces operate with the help of information received from informants or information about the movements of the enemy as a result of a mobile phone call.
So far, they have managed to retaliate in a matter of minutes by suddenly capturing their enemy at some point during the night.
Now the series of such attacks is coming to an end.
Al Qaeda and Taliban Threat to Britain
The Taliban has made it clear this week that if foreign forces remain in Afghanistan after 9/11, whether they are deployed to protect embassies or Kabul airport, they consider it a violation of the Doha Accords. Will
The Taliban has announced that it will take action against any foreign troops left behind in Afghanistan.
“If the West leaves Afghanistan, it will directly increase the threat of terrorism to Britain,” Sir Alex Younger, the former head of the British intelligence service, told Sky News.
The problem for Britain is how to overtake a few dozen SAS or British commandos in the country without US military bases and immediate air support, and as a result, let them fall prey to an insurgent Taliban.
As the Taliban has demanded the complete withdrawal of Western forces, there will be no way for Western forces to use intelligence to carry out terrorist activities.
Al Qaeda Taliban Relationship
So what is the reality of the relationship between the Taliban and Al Qaeda?
Does the Taliban’s return to power somehow mean a return to al Qaeda, all its bases, its terrorist training camps, where all the horrific experiments of poison gas on dogs were carried out?
In short, the US-led invasion in 2001 was aimed at eliminating all al-Qaeda bases.
This question has been troubling Western intelligence chiefs for years.
Twice now, in 2008 and this year, British government secret documents have revealed how concerned the UK is about the links between the two groups (Al-Qaeda and the Taliban).
Misconceptions and Misfortune Regarding Afghanistan
When al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden relocated his activities from Sudan back to Afghanistan in 1996, until his operations in 2001, the Taliban provided him with a safe haven.
At the time, Saudi Arabia, one of only three countries recognizing the Taliban government, had sent its intelligence chief, Prince Turki al-Faisal, to the Taliban to persuade them to hand over Osama bin Laden to the United States.
The Taliban denied it at the time, and it was al-Qaeda’s Afghan base from which al-Qaeda planned the devastating attacks of September 11, 2001.
The wise leaders in the Taliban who have enjoyed the glorious life of Doha will want their next government to be recognized internationally, for which they can argue among themselves to distance themselves from al-Qaeda.
But in a vast country like Afghanistan, where a central government has not existed, it is not certain that the next Taliban government will be able to defeat al-Qaeda, as al-Qaeda can easily take over Afghanistan’s villages and remote areas. Can penetrate long valleys.
After all, what al-Qaeda and Islamic State groups need to expand their influence is a chaotic and unstable situation.
All indications are that they are going to have this kind of situation in Afghanistan.